Our read
The move from TEN to WAS is the whole reason to draft him, and the reason he is our TE22 with 94 points, about 16 more than TEs drafted around his ADP have historically delivered. Washington threw on 50% of situation-neutral plays and ran 33.6 seconds a play in 2025, a faster, more pass-happy setup than anything he had in Tennessee, and he is listed first among their tight ends with only John Bates and Ben Sinnott behind him. That is a real path to a steady catch count.
The downside is what the usage actually is. His target share was 14.9% last year, and of his own touches only 6.3% came in the red zone, TE97 among 126 qualifying tight ends. His average target traveled 4.6 yards, TE73 in that group. So he eats targets near the line of scrimmage and almost never scores, which is why he cleared 15 points once in 17 weeks and bottomed out at 0. He has beaten the position's weekly median in 12 of 17 games, so he pads a lineup without ever winning you one. His season-by-season line backs that up: 124, 111.6 and 113.4 points the last three years, always a TE20-ish finish, never a spike.
Availability is not a question. He has missed just one game in three seasons, and there is no injury designation on file right now. Drafters are taking him around pick 177, and he has drifted down the board this week. I would grab him a round earlier than that as a second tight end. You are paying for a reliable 7-point week, not a spike, and the new offensive play caller in Washington is the swing factor that could push him past that.