Our read
The fact that decides Raymond's case is the late-season collapse in role: his snap share went from 56% in the first four weeks of 2025 to 18% by weeks 15 to 18, and that was in Detroit before he changed teams. Now he's 32, in year eleven, and listed third in Chicago behind Rome Odunze and Luther Burden III. A role that was already fading doesn't usually revive on a worse depth chart.
The scoring path is thin too. Last year he averaged 5.1 points over 12 games, touched the ball 26 times all season, caught two red-zone looks, and his average depth of target was 5.6 yards, near the bottom of the league. He scored above the position's weekly median in only 4 of those 12 games. He went over 15 points once all year and finished week 9 with a zero. That's a profile built on a few long gains, and Chicago's crowded target room costs him about a point a game on its own. The availability angle doesn't save it either: we expect 13 games, and even healthy he sat out three as a healthy scratch last season.
There's a world where Ben Johnson knows him from Detroit and carves out a specific job, and the books posted 9.5 wins for this team, so the offense won't be unwatchable. But our number is 51 points, WR120, and the middle range tops out at 69. He's going around pick 323, which costs you nothing, but a pick there is better spent on a rookie or a backup running back with a real path. Let him go.