Our read
He went 56th overall in the draft, so the Jaguars spent real draft capital on him, and then they lined him up behind Brenton Strange on the depth chart to start the season. That combination is the whole case. A round 2 tight end with a second-string label in September is a stash, not a contributor, and our board backs that up: TE49, 64 projected points, with most outcomes landing between 46 and 83.
The reason to care anyway is the profile. Strange is not a locked-in star, the Jags won 13 games last year and passed on 59% of their situation-neutral plays, so there are targets floating around this offense. If the rookie climbs the depth chart at any point, the second-round investment means they'll want him involved. The problem is you cannot project that climb from anything on this sheet. No headlines, no injury designation, no usage to point at. He's a blank slate, and blank slates at tight end in redraft leagues are usually just empty roster spots.
He's going around pick 377, which is a final-round flier in most leagues, and our number has him at 253 overall, so the gap is real but modest. The expected 13 games with a range of 6 to 17 tells you the season could go sideways fast. If you have a third tight end spot and want to hold the guy with draft capital, fine, take him with your last pick and let week 7's bye pass without stress. But if your bench is tight, a veteran TE2 who actually catches passes beats a lottery ticket. I'd only roster him if I could cut him in October without a second thought.