Our read
Eleven healthy weeks he did not play last season, and 14 the year before. That is the whole case against Devontez Walker. In 2025 he got on the field for 5 games, averaged 7.5 points a week, and hit 16.6 once in week 2. His snap share was 24.4% and his target share 6.5%, both bottom-20 among qualifying receivers. Our number for 2026 is 38 points, which puts him at WR142 on our board.
Even when he plays, the scoring runs through others. His touchdown load sits at 1.8x his share of the offense, and that imbalance costs him 0.7 points a game. The touchdown-points share at 47.9% is worth another 2 a game against him, and the crowded room behind Flowers, Bateman and Lane takes 0.9 more. He is listed fourth among BAL wideouts as of early September, with a Q designation on the injury report. He was a round 4 pick for a reason, and the average depth of target at 24.5 yards, fifth among 223, tells you the role is a shot play, not a volume one.
The arrow points up if you squint. Points per game went from 3.03 in 2024 to 7.52 in 2025, and target share went from 1.4% to 6.5%, so something moved. But we expect around 12 games with a range of 5 to 17, and the books have posted nothing on him for a reason. Drafters take him around pick 326 anyway. I would let him go in every draft and circle back on waivers if the snaps ever jump from 11% to 43% again, the way they did inside last season.