Our read
Buffalo listed him third among their tight ends behind Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox, and the 2025 usage matched the label. A 5.3% target share, TE90 among 126 qualifying tight ends, with 16 touches all season. He averaged 4.0 points a game and his best week was 9.6, so the weekly median beat him more often than not. He was on the field for 13 of 17 games and never missed one to injury, so the other four were healthy scratches. His snap share sat at 40% to 41% whether you look at the first month or the last four weeks, so the role never grew as the season went on.
The scoring role is the real drag. His touchdown share comes in at 1.1x and costs him 0.7 points a game, on just 3 red-zone touches and 2 inside the ten last year. Short average depth of target at 7.3 yards does not help him chase chunk points either. A new play caller in Pete Carmichael Jr. could shuffle the tight end pecking order, but nothing on file says it shuffles toward him.
Our number has him at 58 points, TE56 on our board, and drafters take him around pick 368, so nobody is reaching for him. That is the right instinct. If you are rostering a third tight end this late, take a flier on a role you can actually see rather than a block-first backup. Let him go and check back if the depth chart changes.