Our read
The reason to draft Monangai is the goal-line work, not the volume. Last season he got 39 red-zone touches and 20 inside the ten, both top-22 among 147 qualifying backs, on a Ben Johnson offense that won 11 games. That role is what keeps him fantasy-relevant even while he took only 41.4% of the snaps and sits second behind D'Andre Swift on the September depth chart. Johnson calls the plays himself and is back, so if the touchdowns keep coming, the path is intact. The passing game is where he loses you weeks: 164 receiving yards all of last year, an average depth of target of 0.1 yards, and a 5.6% target share. He is a two-down touchdown runner, and if the touchdowns dry up his worst week was 1.8 points. Still, he handled 187 touches, RB28 among 147 qualifying backs, so the workload behind that role was real, not a trick of a few big games. His best week hit 22.8 in week 9, and he beat the position's weekly median in 9 of his 17 games, so when the touchdowns land the good weeks are genuine spike weeks. The games question matters too. He is flagged Q as of September 9, and the expectation is 14 games with a realistic range of 8 to 17. Our number of 119 points already accounts for some missed time, and it sits about 15 points above what running backs drafted around pick 118 have historically delivered. There are 12 players in his tier before a 10.1-point cliff, so you are not losing much by waiting. My call: take him a few picks after his ADP in the double-digit rounds, but draft a back with passing-game work first, because the week-to-week scoring here is lumpy.